Recession Upcoming?

What are the odds of a recession in the not too distant future?

byRajveer Rawlin142,911 Views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.in
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.in
14,181 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com
6,816 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.br
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.br
3,417 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ru
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ru
3,225 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.fr
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.fr
2,250 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.co.id
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.co.id
1,758 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.de
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.de
729 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ch
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ch
629 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.co.uk
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.co.uk
529 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.nl
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.nl
432 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ca
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ca
387 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.it
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.it
367 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.jp
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.jp
356 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.sg
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.sg
355 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.tw
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.tw
348 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.es
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.es
287 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.ar
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.ar
284 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.stfi.re
rajveersmarketviews.stfi.re
280 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.co
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.co
267 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.co.za
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.co.za
256 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.kr
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.kr
208 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.tr
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.tr
197 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.cl
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.cl
193 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.mx
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.mx
186 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.eg
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.eg
183 views
Favicon for https://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.au
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.au
177 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.my
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.my
176 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.cz
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.cz
172 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.hk
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.hk
144 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ie
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ie
141 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ae
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ae
127 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ro
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ro
126 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.hu
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.hu
114 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.pe
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.pe
108 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.bg
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.bg
103 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.gr
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.gr
92 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.co.ke
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.co.ke
85 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.ng
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.ng
81 views
Favicon for https://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.se
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.se
67 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.by
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.com.by
65 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.pt
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.pt
52 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.rs
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.rs
41 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.co.at
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.co.at
41 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.mk
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.mk
39 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ba
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.ba
37 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.be
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.be
30 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.md
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.md
29 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.hr
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.hr
29 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.dk
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.dk
29 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.lt
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.lt
28 views
Favicon for http://storify.com
storify.com
24 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.no
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.no
22 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.co.il
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.co.il
21 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.fi
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.fi
21 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.al
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.al
21 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.sk
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.sk
15 views
Favicon for http://rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.si
rajveersmarketviews.blogspot.si
15 views
Embed

  1. Definition of a Recession:

  2. The textbook definition of a recession is two quarters of negative GDP growth. Some examples of recessions include the great depression of the 1930’s, the dotcom crash of 2000 and the great recession of 2008.
  3. Causes of a Recession:

  4. Recessions are caused by several factors. These include:
    Hyper Inflation
    Deflation
    Prolonged Fall in Exchange Rates
    Credit Crunches
    Collapsing Consumer Confidence
    Collapsing Asset Prices
    Collapsing Global Trade
    Bust following Excessive Speculation – e.g., Property Market in Japan -1989
  5. Evidence so far:

  6. 1) Collapsing Commodity Prices:
    Recessions caused by deflation see massive collapses in asset prices. There has been a well over 50% plunge in the prices of industrial commodities such as copper and oil:
  7. 2) Collapse in Global Trade:
  8. Freight rates as measured by the Baltic dry index have collapsed over 95% from their highs set in 2008. While temporary dislocations can cause the index to fluctuate quite a bit, the well over 95% collapse in the index is an indication that all is not well with the global economy as far as trading activity is concerned.
  9. 3) Collapsing Stock Markets:
  10. Stock Markets across the world have been collapsing despite record low interest rates globally.
  11. Emerging markets are down significantly from their recent highs:
  12. The US S&P 500 is on the verge of breaking down from a massive multi-year rising wedge
    much like in 2000 and 2008 but much bigger this time around:
  13. 4) Dollar Strength:
  14. The Dollar has strengthened against virtually every other currency the last five years:
  15. 5) Excessive Speculation & Risk Taking:
  16. We are all familiar with the excessive speculation in the housing market that led to the great recession of 2008 following the collapse of Bear Sterns and Lehman Brothers. Fast forward to 2016 and the risk exposures at some big banks are reaching alarming levels as is the case with Deutsche Bank:
  17. 6) The velocity of Money is below Great depression levels:
Like
Share

Share

Facebook
Google+