2) The BBWAA are a fickle and moody breed who like to moralize a lot and use unrealistic standards to judge players.
And they are the type of people who, even without real basis for doing so, will hold the accusations of people like Canseco over Pudge's head when it comes time to vote. Or, if those accusations have been disproven by that point, the fact that he didn't achieve any of the hitting milestones most expect from hitters against him.
The Baseball Writers Association of America is not known for its ability to get it right the first time
. (See: Jeff Bagwell, Barry Larkin, Roberto Alomar, Ryne Sandberg, Rollie Fingers, Carlton Fisk) Or the second time
. Or ever
Rodriguez has outstanding numbers for a catcher, but he doesn't have 500 home runs or 3,000 hits, the two key benchmarks for a person at the plate. And, it's worth noting, that gaudy numbers weren't enough to get Carlton Fisk or Gary Carter into the hall of fame on the first ballot.
The test case for this will come on the 2013 ballot, when Mike Piazza, a deserving player and a potential first-ballot hall of famer, gets in. If he makes it or gets really close, it could signal a shift from the standards that catchers were evaluated by the BBWAA.
The baseball writer's association operates under weird rules were potential candidates get punished for not shining bright enough, or -- as is likely the case for Barry Bonds next year -- being a total dick to the media on a regular basis.
Yes, I work in the same profession. That doesn't mean I don't believe that these people aren't wrong a lot when it comes to putting players in. Players/Executives who didn't deserve it
in recent years have made it in. Players who do
are not in yet.
There's no doubt, barring some kind of startling revelation about what he did or if he did anything during his 21 year career, Ivan Rodriguez should be a hall of famer come 2017. But the specter of steroids and a fickle voting body that has no basis for the subjective way its members judge candidates could derail a celebration five years from now.
And that's a shame.