8 people predicting a Romney win on Election Day

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  1. Although many professional prognosticators see President Obama as the favorite tomorrow, some notable conservatives are dissenting. Their maps show everything from a slim win by Mitt Romney with 275 Electoral College votes to a 325-vote landslide, with some maps putting Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and even Michigan in play. 
  2. One thing these seven maps agree on, however, is a Romney win in Ohio. (Updated: Ben Domenech's map, added below, does not include Romney winning Ohio.)
  3. Dick Morris: Romney 325, Obama 213

  4. In an appearance on Fox News, conservative commentator Dick Morris predicted a massive Romney win with 325 Electoral College votes. To get there, Romney would have to win all of the swing states but Nevada and turn Minnesota, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania red.
  5. Swing states for Romney: Colorado, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida
  6. Swing states for Obama: Nevada
  7. George F. Will: Romney 321, Obama 217

  8. Conservative commentator George F. Will predicted a huge Romney win, with 321 Electoral College votes. His map is essentially the same as Morris' scenario above, but he would keep Wisconsin in Obama's column and give Nevada to Romney instead.
  9. Swing states for Romney: Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Iowa, Minnesota
  10. Swing states for Obama: None
  11. Michael Barone: Romney 315, Obama 223

  12. Writing in the Washington Examiner, conservative columnist Michael Barone says he's going "out on a limb" and predicting a healthy Romney win, with 315 Electoral College votes. That map would have Romney cleaning up in the South plus capturing Colorado, Ohio and New Hampshire and turning Pennsylvania into a swing state.
  13. Swing states for Romney: North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Iowa, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin
  14. Swing states for Obama: Nevada
  15. Dean Chambers: Romney 311, Obama 227

  16. Conservative activist Dean Chambers runs the website UnSkewed Polls, where he recalibrates polls to offset what he believes are misjudgments about sampling. His prediction calls for Romney to win the South and the Midwest, including Michigan, a state on few other lists.
  17. Swing states for Romney: Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina, Florida
  18. Swing states for Obama: Nevada
  19. Andrew Beyer: Romney 284, Obama 254

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