- In 2040, Austin might be able to do what any sane city would have done in 2004 - put rail on the Drag! #m1ekwillberetired #atxgov
- @JaceDeloney Cap Metro thought buses would serve areas too far to walk from train. Those people just aren't riding AT ALL. #atxgov
- @JaceDeloney People don't like to transfer at all. Rail-rail will be almost as bad. #atxgov
- @JaceDeloney Incorrect. Transfer penalty is large even in NY (justifying HUGE investment to bring LIRR further to job centers). #atxgov
- If only somebody had warned people back in 2004 that Rapid [sic] Bus meant no light rail on Guadalupe. Huh. bit.ly/IEfOPH #atxgov
- @bcabsalom I don't really care - if rail is pushed beyond 2040, I will never get to use it, and we're doomed.
- A subthread about transfers...
- Those who think train-train transfers don't drastically reduce ridership: bit.ly/Mitlhc (Even in NY, yes, they do). #atxgov
- @bcabsalom @drewfinke People vastly overestimate others' willingness to transfer. Feds invested BILLIONS in NYC to reduce LIRR-subway xfers.
- @bcabsalom @drewfinke Obviously in NY driving is a PITA, yet it's still more attractive to many than a good rail-rail transfer!
- @JaceDeloney @drewfinke @bcabsalom In 140 chars, you have to paint broad brushes. Most drivers won't ride if transfers are required. Bang.
- @bcabsalom @JaceDeloney @drewfinke You can get 10s of thousands of drivers to ride direct light rail. Almost 0 with transfers.
- Now the subthread about justifying ridership projections based on existing density and how important it is to serve current demand rather than serve anticipated future development:

