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Do we need Early Bird tickets?

Have you ever missed an "early bird" ticket price? Ever wondered if they were really necessary?

  1. (2011-11-22 Update! Scroll down!)

    I had an interesting conversation via twitter with Alan Francis. We've had a few awkward exchanges in the past (almost certainly a result of my too-often brash demeanour), but I think this one was hopefully constructive and interesting.

    To give you some context, I'm one of the organisers of Ruby Manor, a small conference with big ideas about what could be improved over the more typical conference experience. Alan is one of the organisers of the extremely successful Scottish Ruby Conference, which is very highly regarded in the Ruby world.

    Anyway, back to the story. We begin with the announcement of the upcoming release of tickets for the 2012 Scottish Ruby Conference...
  2. alancfrancis
    In celebration of 48 Years of Doctor Who, @ScotRubyConf will be open for business at 3pm UK time, on Wednesday 23rd November.
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  3. alancfrancis
    We're opening all the tickets at once, but there will three price tiers available to you depending on how quickly you buy.
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  4. This intrigued me, because typically "Early-bird" means you bought a ticket a few days, weeks, or even months early. Conferences normally use it as a way to test demand, so they can alter plans (scaling up or down) appropriately.

    So what's the point if all the tickets become available on the same day? Scottish Ruby Conference has sold out completely, and quickly, for the last two years. Being "early" in this case just means being one of the lucky few who first click "YES YES ME ME" at the appointed time.

    Hence my question:
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  6. alancfrancis
    @lazyatom Tickets are just on sale until they run out. First X get super early bird, next X get early bird, last X get full price.
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  7. lazyatom
    @alancfrancis apologies, I should clarify - I mean why bother with price tiers at all if they're all going at the same time?
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  8. alancfrancis
    @lazyatom … and its the usual reasons for early bird - encourage people to buy now rather than delay, so we have a cash cushion for expenses
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  9. Alan's right, in that this is the normal reason - cashflow. But as soon as you start selling *any* tickets, you start to grow a "cash cushion"; the only reason for discounting some is to drive those first sales. Normally it's because you're really not sure how many tickets you will sell, but as I noted above, you can almost smell the frenzy for Scottish Ruby Conference tickets when they are released. So I wonder:
  10. lazyatom
    @alancfrancis Is there any research (beyond the anecdotal) about whether or not "early bird" prices really help with cash-flow?
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  11. Now it sounds like the first time they ran the event, they hit some serious ticket problems:
  12. alancfrancis
    @lazyatom The first year we ran we *didn't* do early bird and were in real trouble. Force of habit I guess. Maybe we don't need them now?
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  13. lazyatom
    @alancfrancis my guess would be that lack of established following probably played a part for the first event, yeah...
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  14. alancfrancis
    @lazyatom That year we ended up having to do 'late bird' discount coupons etc to get people to buy ...
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  15. alancfrancis
    @lazyatom Then lwe did a super-duper-earlybird form conf2010 where we sold 50 tickets at a 100 each as soon as conf2009 finished.
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  16. alancfrancis
    @lazyatom super cheap as we didn't even have any speakers announced. Again, nice to have a cash cushion.
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  19. ... I don't envy that situation at all, and I probably would've done exactly the same things in that position.

    That said, there are many plausible (and I'd argue likely) reasons why they hit problems. Principally, the conference had no reputation at all. Unfortunately, reputation is (I believe) the principal motivator when an attendee is deciding whether or not to buy a conference ticket. If they heard the conference was great last year, they are far more likely to buy a ticket this year. After all, none of us want to miss out, right?

    It's also possible that the tickets weren't priced well enough for the first event, particularly given that the conference didn't have the foundation of reputation to play upon.

    The point is: even though they used the Early Bird mechanism, there were still problems, and that's because Early Bird ticket prices frame a guess that the organisers are making about demand for the conference.

    If you know demand is going to be high, then the reasons to make an Early Bird price available are far less compelling...
  20. lazyatom
    @alancfrancis I'd really love it if you broke the habit; and other conferences would see that they don't need to follow a formula either.
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  21. lazyatom
    @alancfrancis I'm not sure that's quite how I'd frame the question! I'll try to summarise why I think we don't need "early-bird"...
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