Stephen H. Schneider Symposium 2011 - Day 1 of 3
Climate Change: From Science to Policy - August 24-27, 2011, at NCAR, in Boulder :: To pay tribute to Steve Schneider's contributions to climate science and evaluate their historical significance :: To identify key challenges for the future--in climate science, in the development of meaningful climate policies, and in climate science communication--and possible ways to address them.
The 2011 Stephen H. Schneider Symposium
THE 2011 STEPHEN H. SCHNEIDER SYMPOSIUM CLIMATE CHANGE: FROM SCIENCE TO POLICY
Final Q&A re uncertainty-lessons learned working w/ water mgrs, e.g.->how much uncert's OK till you've got a deal breaker? #Schneider2011- Could be using IA models to explore not only 1st optimal solution, but 2nd, 3rd, perhaps more feasible ones=policy benefits #Schneider2011
- Is it desirable to keep making IA models bigger and more complex? Inevitable tradeoffs, but "I too am making my model bigger" #Schneider2011
Every model should have sensitivity analysis to be published; key responsibility of Integrative Assess. modelers, Azar; #Schneider2011- Are we being prescriptive, descriptive, or predictive when we use impact assessment models? #Schneider2011
- Last talk of day: Christian Azar-Seven Questions to Integrated Assessment Modelers #Schneider2011
- Socioeconomic component of IA= births/deaths, resource allocation, investment & growth #Schneider2011
- Integrated assessment (IA) brings together atmospheric state, other ecosystems, human activities = highly interdisciplinary #Schneider2011
- But not all plants able to adapt/keep up with rate of climate change, Anderegg's new California study shows #Schneider2011
- Another study: plant record in California over 20th century, c. 3,000 species-many moving up in elevation since 1970s #Schneider2011
- Drought is prime culprit in sudden aspen die-off, unlike other species where a pathogen like pine beetle plays a role #Schneider2011
Allen et al global risks for forests paper that Bill Anderegg just talked about (pdf) http://bit.ly/qj7KQh #Schneider2011- Why do vegetation changes matter? Timber, firewood, food, pollination, water purification, other ecosystem goods/services #Schneider2011
- Now speaking: Bill Anderegg on "The Changing Emerald Planet: Plants and Climate Change" #Schneider2011
- Root answers a question about managed relocation at #Schneider2011. Read paper that we wrote together about MR in PNAS t.co/jg0fubs
- People realize their daffodils are coming up earlier and earlier-It's not an equation, it's something they're noticing. #Schneider2011
#Schneider2011 live webcast now: Terry Root: climate and biodiversity We are at the edge of a mass extinction event driven by climate #AGW- A: yes, sometimes temp, sometimes precip, sometimes both influence date of spring arrival. #Schneider2011
- Frst arrival in spring of multiple species has indeed been shifting earlier. Q: how do you know it's temp, not precip? #Schneider2011
- Field work in Midwest w/ birds, checking their temps w/ equip set up in hotel bathrooms. Steve came w/ her in 1990s #Schneider2011
- Tell me what the basal metabolic rate of a species limited by temp is & I'll tell you how for north they'll be #Schneider2011
- Terry Root's talk at #Schneider2011 reminds me that she was the one to get me excited about studying climate and species' ranges
