Recap: Special AMS Town Hall on Superstorm Sandy

The session was very well attended and went about 30 minutes over... among the first formal discussions of Sandy by meteorologists. Description of panelists: http://bit.ly/106DWGT

  1. Dr. Louis Uccellini is stepping up to the mic now, first speaker. Director of NCEP. 1.usa.gov/ZiZLgd #ams2013
  2. Uccellini on forecast accuracy: "It's amazing compared to where we were just 10 to 15 years ago" #ams2013
  3. Uccellini: "TS force winds from the coast all the way to Lake Michigan" in #Sandy #ams2013
  4. Uccellini: "This was the first time that blizzard warnings were put out during a hurricane" in West Virginia. #ams2013
  5. Uccellini: Storm accelerated twd NJ coast "we underestimated that by about 6 hrs." Diff btw low tide and high tide landfall. #Sandy #ams2013
  6. Uccellini: This is the first time we launched 4 weather balloons per day across all USA for any reason. Helped fcsts alot. #Sandy #ams2013
  7. Uccellini: A lot of work needs to be done in surge forecasting for NYC area. We underestimated by 3 feet. #Sandy #ams2013
  8. Uccellini: "We feel very strongy that the forecasts saved lives." #Sandy #ams2013
  9. Uccellini... when I was a student, it took two years to get to this point of analysis. Amazing how far we've come. #Sandy #ams2013
  10. Next up, director of the National Hurricane Center, Dr. Rick Knabb. #Sandy #ams2013
  11. Knabb: "It's not every day we have a storm like this." #Sandy #ams2013
  12. Knabb: "We are still doing the post-storm analysis of this", but we don't see any evidence to say #Sandy was hurricane at landfall. #ams2013
  13. Knabb: "We knew this was going to be a likely unique forecast and warning situation" #Sandy #ams2013
  14. Knabb: "We wanted to issue the most attention-getting warning, and one that would remain consistent all the way to landfall" #Sandy #ams2013
  15. Knabb: Switching between tropical and non-tropical warnings was not an option, per advice of EM's and public officials. #Sandy #ams2013
  16. Knabb: "Intentionally misprepresenting #Sandy as a hurricane would have severely damaged credibility of NWS for years to come" #ams2013
  17. RT @WxComm: Knabb: "The meteorology drove ..decision operationally." #AMS2013 We need to have impacts drive process along side meteorology.
  18. Knabb: We were afraid our warning systems would "break" if we issued Hurr warnings for #Sandy when it wasn't a hurr. #ams2013
  19. Although I respect NHCs decision, we need to communicate to save lives not maintain policy. Just my $.02. Give NWS/NHC flexibility #AMS2013
  20. Knabb: We focued on storm surge. "We knew that would be a huge deal." #Sandy #ams2013
  21. Knabb: "We were on the phone with New York City OEM all night" on Saturday evening. #Sandy #ams2013
  22. Knabb: My briefings to the president continued from Thursday to Wed after landfall. #Sandy #ams2013
  23. Knabb: "Deadliest northeast US cyclone since Agnes 1973" #Sandy #ams2013
  24. Knabb: We have a new proposal for future post-tropical cyclones: allow NHC to issue hurricane warnings for systems like #Sandy. #ams2013
  25. Knabb: We are working on storm surge warnings for 2015. This will be a new product by NHC. #Sandy #ams2013

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Eric Holthaus

Humanist. Weatherist. Tweeting up a storm & meteorologically nerding out for @WSJNY and @Weathermob. Opinions are my own, and not that of my employers (duh).

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